Wednesday, October 16, 2013

The Tea Party's Beer Hall Putsch

Every revolution has it's seminal events: The Beer Hall Putsch in the Nazi's rise to power, or the Tennis Court Oath in the case of the French Revolution.  When the history of the Tea Party is told, the Debt Ceiling Crisis will be one of these events.  Like the Beer Hall Putsch, the clash will end in failure for the revolutionary party, and like the Beer Hall Putsch, the failure will be used as a spring board for Ted Cruz.

This has been Ted Cruz's strategy all along.  He didn't really expect to get Obama to cave.  It was always more likely that the Debt Ceiling Crisis would end in a useful failure.  Boehner will bring a senate bill to a vote which will pass with votes from all Democrats, and a few turncoat Republicans. The battle lines will be drawn.  The Tea Party will go after the turncoat Republicans, including Boehner.  Tea Party challengers run to the right of the turncoat Republicans in 2014.  The remaining Republicans align themselves with the Tea Party out of fear.  If the plan succeeds, Ted Cruz emerges as speaker of the house, with an eye on the White House.

The revolutionary event that the Tea Party is supposed to bring to mind is, obviously, the Boston Tea Party.  That itself leads credence to Krugman's assertion that this is a revolutionary movement.  They are trying to overthrow the government, one way or another, and they don't care how much damage they cause in the process.  They think of themselves as American heroes.  I think they are traitors, and Ted Cruz is their demagogue.